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CubanMissileCrisisCIA

354 pages · May 08, 2026 · Document date: Sep 16, 1992 · Broad topic: General · Topic: Cubanmissilecrisiscia · 354 pages OCR'd
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111. (Continued) xt within the Special Group further con- een glven to proposals by che Acting Intelligence in August and Se mber for lou- reconnaissance of certain at in Cuba, roup took up the matter Qn r 14, note ecretary of Defense did th 12 low pe vanes teres unsil resul U-2 coverage able. 4 rious appre- sion of vai ’ Defense, we there should n inrmediacs exari i £ th : , cr low-level :f (No Low-ley nissi 7 flown over | Guba until October 23.) Ke) TS Oop He i 1 bets yO wo 6 ve) ereh ys cre oa When the +1 “sy wy ‘Int allig gence Analysis . We find the need for improvement of ths processes used in making naticnal intelligence estimates and the processes used in maxing current intelligence analyses, and also in the techniques for relating these ‘two functions, . served “by the intel-~ 7 Bui idup in Soviet ° “in Cuba would be th Soviet policy as the coumunt ty then 6 n gue tgment, made .at the very tine when were ir ng NRB?s and IRBMs — in Cuba, we attribute wien of adequate thee lligence . coverage of Cuba, (2) ig ith which the view was held that the £oviet Union would not pasume the ris entailed in establishing nuclear striking forces on Cuban sori, and (3) he absence of an imaginative appraisal of the e indicators which, although’ Limited in number, were conta ined in’ report s disseminated by our ntelligence agencies, (ve reach this conclusion even though we recon! pre the aysence at the time of any conclusive photographic intellig mee, ) . , 4 a) he President y the Sreciel: Ne etd or Ligence ‘community on Septemb Cube," _mis. estime abe cone Lu medium inconsis> oP ‘Ga b =U “er O Rel . ante 9 ve rt @ ct a bots wv wp @ In @ tp 3D +e hed ot a & . The Estimate of Sentember 19 pointed away zrom the likeli- hood of th _Cuba, An Ss 2 establishment cf Soviet nuclear rmissile systems in important cautionary statement app2cred in a discussion pavagrapn, nemely, that the contingency of such a development should be examined carefully, even though it vould mm counter to current Soviet policy. ‘this cautionary stete SON’ , however, wes not carried Pomrerd into the contlusions of the =stimate, & [ind —yh BOM SHORE,
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