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CIA RDP96 00788r000100330001 5
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Approved For Release 2000/08/07 : CIA-RDP96-00788R000100330001-5
SPECIAL EDITION -- TERRORISM -- 26 JUNE 1984
Middle East Policy Survey toe
‘4 confidential biweekly report from Washington and the Middle East
autem ane ato HT OHO A
[EXECUTIVE BRANC
Ca
tract func dione Haver Ream cert im
MOVING AGAINST IRAN
Two recent National Security Decision Directives (NSDD) signed by President Reagan
are seen as preparing the groundwork for a more confrontational US stance against Iran.
NSDD 138, which underscores the Administration's renewed concern about "state supported"
international terrorism is aimed at the two major practitioners of it, Iran and Libya,
according to senior Administration officials. While Libya's role in international
terrorism continues to be a source of major concern - as evidenced again this week by
events in London - it is potential Iranian direct and indirect aggression in the Gulf
arena that is of far greater concern to Administration policymakers.
Administration officials insist that NSDD 138 provides only an outline for a long-
term effort aimed at confronting the growing terrorism problem. As such, they argue
it should be viewed as separate and apart from attempts to coumter Iranian military
moves in the Gulf. However, they admit since Iran looms large in both NSDD's, it is
a natural focal point of both. For example, the other earlier NSDD, which provides
the basis for enhanced US cooperation with Gulf states, contains specific reference
to the Administration's new anti-terrorist posture,
Moreover, it is the specter of possible military action against Iran that has
caused a number of State and Defense Department officials to dissent from both NSDDs.
"McFarlane and his people at the NSC are motivated by a desire for revenge against
Iran," claims one State Department insider. Another argues, "They [the NSC] are
looking for an excuse to take military action against Iran." In fact, according to
aides close to George Shultz, the Secretary of State firmly sides with McFarlane in
the latter's "get tough" approach with Iranian-backed terrorism. "I have no doubt that
if Iran launched a terrorist attack against a US facility, both Shultz and McFarlane
would recommend a military response," says one Shultz aide. ;
This aide traces Shultz' "profound change in attitude" to last April's terrorist
bombing of the US embassy in Beirut. It was this attack more than the October bombing
of Marine headquarters that affected Shultz' outlook. However, Shultz was further
motivated when the French responded to the simultaneous attack on their military post
in Beirut while the US did nothing.
To drive the point home within the State Department, Shultz had Ambassador Robert
M. Sayre, Director of the Office for Combatting Terrorism, lecture a recent senior staff
meeting on the perils of state supported terrorism. At the same time, key State aides
began receiving daily terrorism reports which, according to Department insiders, mark
the first time US intelligence on world-wide terrorism has been brought together in
one place for their information. [Recent reports showing a direct link between Libyan
strongman Qaddafy and a series of terrorist attacks in Britain have caused some State
Department officials to question why London had not taken preemptive steps that could
have averted this week's siege. ]
Not surprisingly, these reports show preponderance of Middle East based terrorism.
According to informed sources, recent reports have begun to relay information on terrorist
training centers in Iran. This has buttressed the view already held by some State
Department officials that a direct military response to an Iranian terrorist attack
has become more likely.
Approved For Release 2000/08/07 : ciA‘Rpp96-00788R000100330001-5
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