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32. Carter to McCone, Cable, 19 September 1962 (Excerpt) y+ __CLASSIFIED MESSAGE PAGE 1 OF Taos \ “onc W, ELDER foe | FOUNNG \ - WTO /DCT™ BOP SEGRE) 17 Tal =o 7805 18-097 u s DATE 4 Al * " gis : : [DEFERRED ouT 78480 - PRIORITY ROUTINE %° parry] i enon 37228 CARTER oso ill L HEREWITH CONCLUSIONS OF SPECIAL NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE APPROVED BY USIB ON 19 SEPTEMBER, A. WE BELIEVE THAT SOVIET UNION VALUES ITS POSITION IN CUBA PRIMARILY FOR THE POLITICAL ADVANTAGES TO BE DERIVED FROM IT, AND CONSEQUENTLY THAT THE MAIN PURPOSE OF THE PRESENT MILITARY BUILDUP IN CUBA JS TO STRENGTHEN THE COMMUNIST REGIME THERE AGAINST WHAT THE CUBANS AND THE SOVIETS CONCEIVE TO BE A DANGER THAT THE US MAY ATTEMPT BY ONE MEANS OR ANOTHER TO OVERTHROW IT. THE SOVIETS EVIDENTLY HOPE TO DETER ANY SUCH ATTEMPT BY ENHANCING CASTRO'S DEFENSIVE CAPABILITIES AND BY THREATENING SOVIET MILITARY RETALIATION, AT THE SAME TIME, THEY ' EVIDENTLY RECOGNIZE THAT THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN OFFENSIVE MILITARY BASE IN CUBA MIGHT PROVOKE US MILITARY INTERVENTION AND THUS DEFEAT THEIR PRESENT PURPOSE, ~ COORDINATING OFFICERS mowance Esctoted Pom RELEASING OFFICER FOB SEOCEEE Gereg vane se AUTHENTICATING Se . Serene OFFICE® REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED. Copy No.,