◆ SpookStack

UNCLASSIFIED/LAW ENFORCEMENT $EN$ITIVE XRA. (U) Appendix A: Expressions of Likelihood (or Probability). (U) Phrases such as "the FBI judges" and "the FBI assesses," and terms such as "likely" and "probably" convey analytical judgments and assessments. The chart approximates how. expressions of likelihood and probability correlate with percentages of chance. The FBI only uses likelihood expressions. Furthermore, the FBI does not derive judgments via statistical analysis and will not use expressions of probability to convey uncertainty in external FBI intelligence products. UNCLASSIFIED Almost Roughly Very Very Unlikely Likely Almost No Even Ualikely Likely Certain(ly) Chance Chance Highly Prohable Highly Remote E Inprobabie: (Imnrobabl (Prohably) Probable Certam SPPO 2050 55-80% 80-95% %66-96 UNCLASSIFIED/ALAW ENFORCEMENT SENSITIVE 8