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UNCLASSIFIED/ALAW ENFORCEMENT SENSITIVE (U) Appendix A: Expressions of Likelihood (or Probability) (U) Phrases such as "the FBI judges" and "the FBI assesses," and terms such as "likely" and "probably" convey analytical judgments and assessments. The chart approximates how expressions of likelihood and probability correlate with percentages of chance. The FBI only uses likelihood expressions. Furthermore, the FBI does not derive judgments via statistical analysis and will not use expressions of probability to convey uncertainty in external FBI intelligence products UNCLASSIFIED Almost Roughly Very Very Likely Almost No Unlikely Ualikely Even Likely Certain(ly) Chance Chance Roughh Remote (Improbably) Inprobable: Probabi Certan SpPO 20-45% 55-80% %96-08 %66-96 UNCLASSIFIED/ALAW ENFORCEMENT SENSITIVE 8