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ONCKASSFSOTOR OFTRIAR UE OARY Source, Reference, and Dissemination Information Source Summary a/rouo) This IID is based on FBI and DH IS reporting, government press releases, court Statementd documents, nonprofit organization research, and press reporling. We have high confidence in the information obtained from FBl reporting, governmenl press releases, courl documents, nonprofit organization researth, and press reporting, as this information consisis of verifiable, firsthand atcounts or secondhand atcounts corroborated by additional government or press reporting. We have medium confidence in the information ohtained from DHIS open source reporting because some of it is corroborated by other reporling, about DVE threals and activily, but sperifit DHS open source reports may be indicalive of aspirational plotting rather than specific Or tredible threats. yroue We have medium confidence in our assessment that DVEs from atross the ideological spectrum are driven lo act by a combination of enduring grievances and Hheir perceplion of current events. This assessment is based on FBI and DHS reporiing, government press releases, nonprofit organization research, and press reporting, A reduction in violent rhetoric responding to the ongoing COviD-19 pandemit could thange our assessment.. (w/rouo) We have medium confidence in our assessment that MVEs likely pose an inreased threat to law enforcement, government personnel, and assoriated facilities during the COViD-19 pandemic. This assessment is based on courl doruments, government press releases, and press reporting. A change in the frequency with which MVEs are threatening violence at in-person protests or online could change our assessment. (/rouo) We have high confidence in our assessmeni thal some RMVEs motivaled by a belief in the superiority of the white rate likely pose the primary threat of mass casualty attacks. This assessment is based on the continued arrest of RMVE plotters, manifestos altribuled to RMVE atlackers, court documents, and press reporling. Our assessment could change if we see less violent rhetorik online or in person in the future from these individuals.. (/rouo) We have high confidence in our assessment that RMVE attacks driven by their violent extremisl interprelalion of a desire for a separale black homeland and/or perceptions or acts of ratial injustice probably are prone to periodic spikes of violence against law enfoncement or Jewish institutions. This assessment is based on press reporling. If recent or future officer-involved deaths of Afrian Americans do nol heighten domestit racial tensions, this could change our assessment. a/rouo; We have medium confidence in our assessment that DVEs with personalizxd belief systems could seek to mobilize in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, political changes they view as unfavorable, or lawful protesls in response lo the fficer-involved deaths of unarmed African Ameritans. This assessment is based on FBI reporling, governmen press relvases, and press reporling. Additional information indicating the true intenl and capability of individuals issuing ihrvals on soxial media assessment.d (u/rouo) We have high confidence in our assessment that IVEs likely will continue lo draw inspiralion from previous allatkers.This assessment is based on FBl informalion, open source reporling, and court doruments. A change in the content of IVE rhetoric. online and increased conteni moderalion of IVE-related messaging by sovial media companies could change our assessment. 13 UNCUASSEO FBI(21cv558)-1769