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Criminal Profiling — Part 1
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Douglas et al.: Criminal Profiling from Crime Scene Analysis
category involving groups are committed for a variety of reasons: religious (Jim
Jones and the Jonestown, Guyana, case), cult (Charles Manson), and fanatical
organizations such as the Ku Klux Klan and the Black Panther Party of the
1970s. .
Finally, the murderer may have sexual motives for killing. Individuals may
kill as a result of or to engage in sexual activity, dismemberment, mutilation,
eviseration, or other activities that have sexual meaning only for the offender.
Occasionally, two or more murderers commit these homicides together as in the
1984-1985 case in Calaveras County, California, where Leonard Lake and Charles
Ng are suspected of as many as 25 sex-torture slayings.
Victim Risk
The concept of the victim’s risk is involved at several stages of the profiling
process and provides information about the suspect in terms of how he or she
operates. Risk is determined using such factors as age, occupation, lifestyle,
physical stature, resistance ability, and location of the victim, and is classified
as high, moderate, or low. Killers seek high-risk victims at locations where
people may be vulnerable, such as bus depots or isolated areas. Low-risk types
include those whose occupations and daily lifestyles do not lead them to being
targeted as victims. The information on victim risk helps to generate an image
of the type of perpetrator being sought.
Offender Risk
Data on victim risk integrates with information on offender risk, or the risk
the offender was taking to commit the crime. For example, abducting a victim
at noon from a busy street is high risk. Thus, a low-risk victim snatched under
high-risk circumstances generates ideas about the offender, such as personal
stresses he is operating under, his beliefs that he will not be apprehended, or
the excitement he needs in the commission of the crime, or his emotional ma-
turity.
Escalation
Information about escalation is derived from an analysis of facts and patterns
from the prior decision process models. Investigative profilers are able to deduce
the sequence of acts cxmmitted during the crime. From this deduction, they may
be able to make determinations about the potential of the criminal not only to
escalate his crimes (e.g., from peeping to fondling to assault to rape to murder),
but to repeat his crimes in serial fashion. One case example is David Berkowitz,
the Son of Sam killer, who started his criminal acts with the nonfatal stabbing
of a teenage girl and who escalated to the subsequent .44-caliber killings.
Time Factors
There are several time factors that need to be considered in generating a
criminal profile. These factors include the length of time required: (1) to kill the
VOL. 4, NO. 4+ 1986
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