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9 11 Commission Report — Part 12
Page 2
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~~ sscanrimosonn/orcor
To: All Field Offices From: Counterterrorism.
Re: LOON-NY-257503, 4/13/2001
level of planning and activity may be underway which may presage
one or more attacks. Indications of terrorist planning and ©
logistical preparation in recent weeks seem to focus on Saudi
Arabia and Israel as possible target locations. U.S. interests in
Saudi Arabia, particularly U.S. military interests, remain UBL's
preferred target. Al-Qaeda associated personnel also are reported
to be stepping up efforts to conduct possible attacks in Israel.
The reporting available on Al-Qaeda operations possibly being
planned for Israel contains no information on specific targets.
The current reporting suggesti b3
warning is a compilation of —
(0) OSG) The Al-Qaeda organization and associated
extremists are known to be searching worldwide for security
vulnerabilities which might enable a successful attack against
U.S. facilities or personnel. Lack of reporting is not
indicative of reduced risk as, in addition to the areas discussed
above, Sunni extremists are known to have associates located in
many areas worldwide. As demonstrated by the attack on the USS
Cole, they are capable of long term surveillance and planning in
a target area that enables them to recognize and exploit
vulnerabilities, including those that have a limited window of
Opportunity. Historically, attack planning and execution have
taken at least several months.
0) (Sper) Notably, reporting has indicated that
Al-Qaeda operatives, including Abu Zubaida, have been involved in
operational planning in several different geographic locations.
Reports have noted the continued movement of personnel and
Material between Afghanistan and the Arabian peninsula, as well
as between Afghanistan and Europe. Additionally, reporting
implied that support activities must be completed in the next few
1} weeks, but did not address specific dates.
OX(NF) Multiple sources indicate that UBL's
organization may be in the advanced planning stages of a
terrorist attack against U.S. interests in Saudi Arabia. The
reporting involves movement of terrorists from Afghanistan
following training there. Furthermore, explosives and arms are
being smuggled into Saudi Arabia for use against U.S. and Western
targets. However, the Intelligence Community has been unable to
narrow the list of potential targets. It should be noted that
although UBL's stated preference for military targets, other
targets could include U.S. diplomatic facilities. Other possible
targets could include commercial establishments and/or businesses
which would be prominently be identified as American.
SECRET /NOFORN/OREOI-
2
REBUTTAL DOCS - CSS #10 . 000000014
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