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CONFIDENTIAL —- •' WE THINK IT LIKELY THAT THE TANZZANIANS ARE GENUINE WHEN THEY SAY THAT THEY ARE NOT AT THIS POINT WEDDED TO O13OTE OR TO ANYONE ELSE AND THEY WILL SUPPORT TO THE BEST OF THEIR .ABILITY ANY (AMD EVERY) GROUP OPPOSED TO AM IN. AS FOR THE FACTORS DETERMINING CURRENT TAMZANIAN POLICIES - (A AND B IN PARA 3 OF MIPT) - WE HAVE NO REASON TO DOUBT THE ACCURACY OF 'A', 'B> IS DEBATABLE, IT IS OF COURSE CONVENIENT FOR THE TANZANIANS TO JUSTIFY THEIR CONTINUED INVASION AS BEING PRIMARILY MOTIVATED BY HUMANITARIAN CONSIDERATIONS BUT IF IT IS TRUE THAT THERE HAS BEEN A LARGE MEASURE OF COLLABORATION BETWEEN THE UGANDANS IN THE "LIBERATED AREAS" AND THE ADVANCING TAN2ANI AfJS THEN W O CAN DOUBT FROM HIS PAST RECORD THAT J F" AM 1N GETS THE CHANCE TO EXACT HIS REVENGE ON HIS OWN PEOPLE ME WILL DO SO WITH COMPLETE RUTHLESSNESS. Tb HIMCHCLIFFEE fSfY'fl, Tu ",!:>£» i** f> +}.,.