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CIA RDP83 00415r006800050005 6
Page 590
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~ Approved For Release 2004/02/19 : CIA-RDP83-00415R006800050005-6
_ 25X1A
|
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCE 25X1A
under normal circumstances, will never do anything to promote one or
more coups in order to create the downfall of the regime; a military
revolution, therefore, would be discounted, since the compactness of
the Army is considered by them to count above everything else. However,
it is also known that in the event of a direct Soviet threat against
Yugoslavia both they and their "comrades" who are faithful to Tito would
universally pronounce themselves in favor of the Soviets, stressing the
fact that it is primarily necessary to protect the integrity of the Arny,
an Army which, all told, is socialistically oriented,
3. Tito and his closest collaborators are perfectly aware of this spirit
of mind of the generals, and, through the UDB, exercise surveillance
over all the above-mentioned elements but, in substance, adopt no
severe measures against them. In the event of a Soviet success, all
would automatically cede the leadership of the Army to pro-Russian generals
and, on the other hand, in the event of an American victory, the Corps
fof Generals would embrace the position of the Yugoslav Chief of Staff,
Koca Popovic, according to whom Socialist Yugoslavia and the Yugoslav
Army could only preserve themselves by leaning upon the West and upon
its technicel and material aid. A parvenu of the Communist Party in
the Yugoslav Army, that is, General Pero Kosoric, accused Koca Popovic
of nationalist deviationism because of the leaders' attitudes in favor
of the West. Kosoric and two or three other political generals are above
all completely Communist but also officers of the former regime. Popovic
energetically defended his attitude, affirming that his line prevents the
United States from exploiting nationalist military elements and thus placing
Tito's regime in danger. During the above-mentioned political meeting of
{ May, Popovic stressed that an operational and informational command formed
\Y_ of Royalist Yugoslav Army elements had been established in the Department
‘of the Army in Washington. He stated that Colonels Bjelajac, Knezevic,
i Novek, Stude, and others were part of this command, but that the command
would not only paralyze, but would actually force the United States to
iscount any kind of combination with the nationalists since it would
be able to count upon the Army of Tito.
4e From the above it can be deducted with certainty that no action will be
initiated in any particular direction from within the ranks of Yugoslav
generals for the simple reason that they act in such a way as to make
the Army remain an orgenic entity in any situation. This state of affairs
gives rise to the possibility that all the opposing camps will, under
certain specific circumstances, be able to count upon it. Even if no
split should take place among the generals with respect to their different
political conceptions a certain discord nevertheless does exist among them;
they fight each other mutually in order to obtain better positions and a
great influence for themselves. At the same time, there is apparent a
certain hostility of a regional character which is often observed on the
part of the Croat and Slovene generals against the Serbs of whom it is
said, as was the practice in the Royalist Yugoslav Army, that they do not
allow the key positions of command to slip out of their hands. As far as
their economic treatment is concerned the generals find themselves in a
privileged position. For example, divisional commanders, who receive
special indemnities in addition to their pay, are paid better than ministers
of the federative republics.
5. In all, the number of officers previously members of the Royalist Army
and presently in the Tito officer corps has been reduced to eight percent.
Of this total, four percent consists of old Communists who at a certain
determined time were infiltrated into the Royalist Army as Red agents,
whereas the resis RUA indispensable specialists who have no command functions.
_ Approved For Release 2004/02/19 : CIA-RDP83-00415R006800050005-6
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