◆ SpookStack

Se ee oe een a cae ee produce a psychological effect sufficient to precipitate general uprisings of wide-spread revolt among disaffected elements of Castro's armed forces. c. Actually, the least costly and most efficient way to infiltrate the force into a terrain suitable for protracted and powerful guerrilla operations would be by a single landing of the whole force as currently planned and its retirement from the landing point into the chosen redoubt. .7- -A LANDING IN FORCE: The Joint Chiefs of Staff have no evaluated the military aspects of the plan for landing by the Cuban opposition. They have concluded that “this plan has a fair chance of ultimate success" (that is of detonating a major and ultimately successful revolt against Castro) and that, if ultimate success is not achieved there is every likelihood that the Janding can be the means of establishing in favorable terrain a powerful guerrilla force which cowld be sustained almost indefinitely. . The latter outcome would not be (and need not appear as) a serious defeat. It would be the means of exerting continuing pressure on the regime and would be a continuing demonstration of inability of the regime to establish order. It cowld create an opportunity for an OAS intervention to impose a cease-fire and hold elections. a. Any evaluation of the chances of success of the assault force should be realistic about the fighting qualities